College football predictions: Week 14 Big 12 and Top 25 game picks

Lots of rivalry games are on the slate for Thanksgiving weekend. Can the top six teams stay in playoff contention? Find out in our predictions for all the Big 12 games and select top 25 games.

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Texas 24, (5)TCU 21

The Horned Frogs need a lot of help to get to the College Football Playoff — and that includes from the teams below them. I wouldn’t be surprised if Baylor or Ohio State jumped them with upcoming competition. However, I don’t think it will matter after Thanksgiving night. Having to play on the road during the holidays will be hard. If it’s low-scoring, you have to like the Longhorn’s odds despite their meager offense.

West Virginia at Iowa State — Prediction coming Friday

(7)Baylor 56, Texas Tech 14

There’s a lot to play for if you’re the Bears, but they can’t look ahead to Kansas State just yet. They need to impress the committee by meeting expectations with a blowout victory over the Red Raiders. Unless DeAndre Washington controls the game, Baylor should do exactly that.

Nov 8, 2014; Fort Worth, TX, USA; Kansas State Wildcats head coach Bill Snyder greets defensive end Marquel Bryant (45) before the game against the TCU Horned Frogs at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

(12)Kansas State 35, Kansas 13

The Wildcats have been held to 35 rushing yards in their last two games. Considering the Jayhawks gave up a new FBS-record 527 yards to Oklahoma freshman Samaje Perine, I think Bill Snyder will find a way to fix that.

(24)Marshall 42, W Kentucky 27

That’s right, Marshall! The committee finally loves them enough to put them into the top 25 after an 11-0 start to the season. Are they finally feeling the heat after scraping by UAB last week? The Thundering Herd won’t beat the spread, but Devon Johnson will run all over Western Kentucky and add to his 1,573-yard rushing total with 16 touchdowns.

Stanford 19, (8)UCLA 16

What a long, strange trip it’s been for UCLA. They haven’t had a jaw-dropping victory until defeating Arizona 17-7, and now after dominating USC, they finally look like the team we all expected. But the eight-best team in the nation? Not by a long shot, and Stanford will give Arizona or Arizona State a chance to win the Pac-12 South.

Florida 21, (3)Florida St 20

Man, I’m really predicting chaos this weekend. Will Muschamp goes out in style by taking down Florida State, a team that looks so vulnerable at 11-0 that we all know they’d get their doors blown off if they competed against any of these real top teams.

(4)Mississippi St 38, (19)Ole Miss 19

Dak Prescott brought the Bulldogs on the map with an overtime victory last year in the Egg Bowl that made them bowl eligible. A win here would make them a strong candidate in the CFP. Considering national perspective of Ole Miss is really bad after an embarrassing loss to Arkansas, MSU must pound them convincingly.

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