Iowa’s early result of a two-touchdown favorite has quickly dwindled in Vegas, but the public might be trending a different way after the spread drops close to single digits.
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Vegas sportsbooks currently have the Hawkeyes as a 10.5-point favorite, a point lower than most offshore sportsbooks. That’s because people are actually trending in the opposite direction already on offshore websites, meaning that the line dipped to 10 points but then people started banging on the favorites.
5Dimes actually has the line all the way back to Iowa as a 12-point favorite. Because what’s happening on the offshore books, it’s a stretch that the Cyclones will actually be just single-digit underdogs in Vegas.
Total points scored in the game opened up around 49 points on most offshore books and it is rising. Going back to 5Dimes, they currently have the total sitting at 50.
- Cyclones are 13-4 at the spread in last 17 Big Ten matchups
- Cyclones are 1-5 ATS in last six conference games.
- Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in last five games following ATS loss.
- Hawkeyes are 0-4 ATS in last four home games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cyclones last five games versus team that has a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Hawkeyes last five games versus team that has a losing record
- Under is 8-2 in Cyclones last 10 Big Ten matchups
- Under is 9-3 in Hawkeyes last 12 Big 12 matchups
What bettors say
According to Covers, 58 percent of the public is betting that Iowa State will cover the spread (+11.5). The experts are all about the Cyclones covering with a whopping 83 percent pounding on their number. As far as the point total, 57 percent of the public and 60 percent of the experts believe that it will be under 50.