Oct 13, 2012; Dallas, TX, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback David Ash (14) avoids the rush of Oklahoma Sooners defensive end Chuka Ndulue (98) during the red river rivalry at the Cotton Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Big 12 football picks: Week seven predictions

Vegas believes that blowouts are on the way in the four-pack of Big 12 games on Saturday. Find out if that’s going to be the case in completely amateur predictions that finally hit pretty well last week.

(10)Oklahoma (5-0) vs Texas (3-2) – 11:00 AM CT, ABC

The Sooners have won nine of the previous 14 meetings with the last two games decided by a combined 80-point margin. That’s embarrassing for the Longhorns, who are hampered with rushing defense woes and will need to find a way to stop Brennan Clay He had 111 yards against TCU last week, who boasts the nation’s 41st-best rush defense. By comparison, Texas is 119th, which is one step above Texas-El Paso.

If Texas can stop the run, they may have a chance. Both teams’ quarterbacks don’t make many mistakes. Blake Bell has a 69.2 completion percentage compared to Case McCoy’s 60.8 percent. Bell hasn’t been picked off yet this season and has six touchdowns; McCoy hasn’t thrown a pick in his last 102 passing attempts. It’s time for the Red River Rivalry to be finally competitive, but the Longhorns’ poor rushing defense will keep them from winning the game. OKLA 34, TEX 26 (Odds: TEX +13.5, O57.5)

Kansas (2-2) at TCU (2-3) – 11:00 AM CT, FOX Sports Networks

We’ve already mentioned that TCU is ranked 41st nationally in rushing defense, which means that the Jayhawks’ biggest weapon, James Sims, will be tested. Kansas’ offensive line, that has problems protecting quarterback James Heaps, will be put under pressure by the Horned Frogs that lead the Big 12 with 18 sacks. This is simply a bad matchup for KU, especially on the road. TCU 42, KAN 6 (Odds: TCU -24, U45)

(15)Baylor (4-0) at Kansas State (2-3) – 2:30 PM CT, FOX

Everyone has fallen in love with the Bears’ offense after walloping West Virginia, their first Big 12 opponent. Now the big question is if they can take their amazing show on the road. Considering the Wildcats’ meager start to the season, it’s not going to be the hardest test. Lache Seastrunk is an absolute mismatch with KSU giving up more rushing yards than Iowa State per game. Don’t expect the team to make as many mistakes as they did last week against Oklahoma State, but the Baylor defense will prove again why they’re the top of the conference.  BAY 65, KSU 27 (Odds: BAY -17, O74)

The prediction between Iowa State and Texas Tech will be made on Friday night.

Current records:

  • Straight-up: 30-8 (LW: 4-1)
  • At the spread: 11-19 (LW: 3-2)
  • Over/under: 15-15 (LW: 3-2)

Tags: Big 12 News Football

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